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Crown Green Handicap

Natasha Stratton

Team: Arno TixallDivision: Division BLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

908

Current Handicap

8
Honours
Season:

48

Matches Played

22

Wins

26

Losses

46%

Win Rate

9.7

Avg Win Margin

9.6

Avg Loss Margin

16-11

Home Record

6-15

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
48 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 5/8/2024

A large recent sample: 48 matches in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 33-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player6/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 48 matches

+8 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

19 May4 Aug4 Jul9 May13 Jun24 Jul23 Jun8 May-1259

Gives 8 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current8
Win Percentage(35%)
46%
score-0.08→contribution-0.03
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
9.7
score+0.28→contribution+0.06
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.6
score-0.26→contribution-0.04
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
45%
score-0.10→contribution-0.01
Opponent Strength(15%)
910
score-0.18→contribution-0.03
Weighted Score-0.042
Sample Size Confidence
100%(48/33 matches)
Rating983 → shrunk 983→ adjusted 908
Handicap
8

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

22W26L48 matches·45.8% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Arno Tixall2016–2024Division B48222645.8%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
5/8/2024vs Royden HallH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision B
6/14/2023vs Lever Club BH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision B
6/13/2023John BensteadA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision B
7/8/2021Freda WhalleyA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision B
7/7/2021vs KendalH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision B
6/30/2021vs Bromborough PoolH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision B
6/24/2021Stephen BallA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision B
6/23/2021vs Oxton Cons BH4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision B
8/15/2019Harry WalshA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision B
8/8/2019Doug TaylorA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision B
8/7/2019vs Bromborough PoolH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision B
7/31/2019vs Albany BH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision B
7/25/2019Colin WolfarthA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision B
7/24/2019vs Oxton Cons BH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision B
7/16/2019Colin LitsterH21-1WIN+20LeagueDivision B
7/10/2019vs Lever Club BH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision B
7/2/2019Robert PinningA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision B
6/26/2019vs Oxton Cons CA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision B
6/19/2019vs Royden HallH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision B
6/13/2019Keith BasnettA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision B
6/6/2019Denise JamesA21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision B
6/5/2019vs Pensby BH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision B
5/23/2019Gill SmithA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision B
5/15/2019vs Heswall RblH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision B
5/14/2019Ronnie JonesA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision B
5/9/2019Peter HolianA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
5/1/2019vs NestonH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision B
8/22/2017Fred BeacallH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision B
8/17/2017Ray PenkethA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision B
8/15/2017Kevin CafferyH7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision B
7/25/2017John BensteadH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision B
7/4/2017Sue SharpH21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision B
6/8/2017Gill SmithH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision B
5/25/2017John BensteadA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision B
5/11/2017Peter HolianH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision B
8/25/2016vs Bromborough RecsA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision B
8/9/2016Phil HardyH21-1WIN+20LeagueDivision B
8/4/2016George SmithA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision B
7/28/2016Chris WentworthH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision B
6/30/2016Mike DohertyH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision B
6/16/2016Barbara HardyA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision B
6/9/2016Billy CottamH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision B
6/2/2016Phil NorburyA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision B
5/19/2016David WhitesideA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision B
5/17/2016Albert ProbbingH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision B
5/12/2016Derek WilliamsA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision B
5/10/2016Keith ChristianH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
4/26/2016Mark WoodH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision B
George ONeill Trophy9 games · 4W
20242 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundDave Eaton / Steve CharmleyThingwall15-12WINWON
Round of 16 RoundGary Donaldson / Graham WrightAlbany4-15LOSSLOST
20234 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundPaul Lewin / Ray PenkethLever Club B15-1WINWON
Round of 16 RoundMark Smith / Graham WalkerOxton Cons6-15LOSSWON
Quarters RoundMatthew Peers / Nicky BaileyPensby B13-15LOSSWON
Semi Final RoundMike Pattin / Anthony PattinLedsham Royal3-15LOSSLOST
20221 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundKeith Loughrin / John CliffeKendal10-15LOSSWON
20192 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundEddie Eaton / Les DaviesRoyden Hall15-11WINWON
Round of 16 RoundEric Cook / Edna CookOxton Cons B15-8WINLOST
Leverhulme Cup3 games · 1W
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundJohn DaviesOxton Cons B21-20WINWON
20221 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundPeter McgrathOxton Cons6-21LOSSLOST
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundJames AthertonOxton Cons B11-21LOSSLOST
Andy Dawson Cup2 games · 1W
20192 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundAlan EverittNeston21-15WINWON
Quarters RoundRitchie KirbyOxton Cons B9-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

2wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

8

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
WWLLL
Last 1020% win rate↑ improving
WWLLLLLLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
John Benstead0330%6/13/2023
Royden Hall202100%5/8/2024
Lever Club B202100%6/14/2023
Bromborough Pool11250%6/30/2021
Oxton Cons B0220%6/23/2021
Gill Smith0220%5/23/2019
Peter Holian0220%5/9/2019
Freda Whalley0110%7/8/2021
Kendal0110%7/7/2021
Stephen Ball0110%6/24/2021
Biggest Win
Colin Litster (+20)7/16/2019
Heaviest Defeat
Unknown (-17)6/23/2021
Nemesis
John Benstead0-3 H2H
Best Season
201662% · 13 matches
Worst Season
201958% · 19 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
46% → 46%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
86131 known · 17 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
1-0100% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
12-1840% win rate
Division B45.8%
22W·26L·48 played

Debut

Apr 26, 2016

Latest

May 8, 2024

Seasons Active

6 (8.0 yr span)

Matches / Season

8.0 (48 total)

Seasons

201620172019202120232024